ANNUAL MATERNAL MORTALITY RATE PREDICTION FOR MONGOLIA USING THE MULTILAYER PERCEPTRON
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.17605/Abstract
This research article employs annual time series data on MMR for Mongolia from 1985 to 2023 to predict future trends of MMR over the period 2024 to 2035. The forecast evaluation criteria of the applied model indicate that the ANN (12, 12, 1) model is stable. The neural network model projections revealed that MMR will remain slightly above 40 deaths per 100 000 live births throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, we encourage the government to address local factors associated with maternal mortality and direct resources towards quality improvement activities.
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